Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.784595 4.375528 5.030928 5.812200 6.718869 7.738787 8.974404
2024-10-13 3.085471 3.878931 4.836774 6.080203 7.654963 9.587348 12.145564
2024-10-20 2.525137 3.414729 4.571029 6.188675 8.401292 11.333494 15.534117
2024-10-27 1.995117 2.878372 4.104406 5.938103 8.625399 12.441863 18.313751
2024-11-03 1.756228 2.688837 4.064016 6.251680 9.669416 14.845914 23.359486
2024-11-10 1.583042 2.559288 4.080894 6.643089 10.889642 17.716960 29.664901
2024-11-17 1.402983 2.383795 3.992040 6.845182 11.838324 20.320627 36.044285
2024-11-24 1.223125 2.175080 3.810372 6.854306 12.455765 22.469438 42.051711
2024-12-01 1.038999 1.926356 3.517127 6.611972 12.577045 23.755479 46.727200
2024-12-08 0.883745 1.703155 3.231502 6.329838 12.565468 24.777924 51.070859
2024-12-15 0.800658 1.601824 3.154546 6.430526 13.306691 27.365076 59.041582
2024-12-22 0.707217 1.464863 2.986508 6.318618 13.592531 29.074420 65.480637
2024-12-29 0.672026 1.445293 3.059473 6.740091 15.125665 33.774576 79.727403
2025-01-05 0.619592 1.380996 3.029930 6.937703 16.212223 37.724279 93.168995
2025-01-12 0.561837 1.295575 2.941229 6.987630 16.974238 41.091591 105.997190
2025-01-19 0.485736 1.155839 2.708266 6.658140 16.767314 42.115073 113.141381
2025-01-26 0.460486 1.131885 2.740287 6.980057 18.248326 47.627902 133.490240
2025-02-02 0.442338 1.122215 2.805046 7.397350 20.062301 54.374879 158.897664
2025-02-09 0.414611 1.083752 2.791973 7.609036 21.368230 60.030166 182.548331
2025-02-16 0.379830 1.021176 2.706860 7.610125 22.088779 64.204991 202.781271
2025-02-23 0.337323 0.930960 2.534193 7.334619 21.956917 65.892198 215.645476
2025-03-02 0.298457 0.844538 2.358080 7.017244 21.638148 66.957502 226.761688
2025-03-09 0.279532 0.811704 2.326840 7.126915 22.663349 72.405535 254.127803